THIRD HORIZON
AdvisoryActuarialData SolutionsFoundry

Actuarial Services & Health Services Research

Before a program launches, before a rate is filed, before a contract is signed, someone has to do the math. Third Horizon's in-house actuaries and health services researchers are the people who take the claims histories, the population data, the regulatory constraints, and the unknowns, and turn them into numbers a leader can defend. Rates that hold up. Forecasts that stand up. Contracts priced for the risk they actually carry. The work is technical. The purpose is plain: to give decision-makers the honest picture they need.

Key Capabilities

Rate development and pricing

Setting premiums, capitation rates, fee schedules, or reimbursement rates.

Claims and cost trend analysis

Analyzing historical claims, utilization, and medical cost trends to project future spending.

Risk adjustment and risk scoring

Evaluating member or patient acuity and how risk affects payment, performance, and profitability.

Reserving and liability estimation

Estimating incurred but not reported claims, future liabilities, and other financial obligations.

Value-based care and alternative payment model support

Modeling shared savings, downside risk, bundled payments, episodes of care, and capitation arrangements.

Contract modeling and negotiation support

Assessing payer-provider contract terms, reimbursement scenarios, and financial exposure.

Network and population analysis

Evaluating population health risk, utilization patterns, provider performance, and network adequacy or efficiency.

Forecasting and financial modeling

Building projections for membership, revenue, medical expense, and margin under different scenarios.

Regulatory and compliance support

Supporting rate filings, actuarial certifications, bid development, and other regulated financial analyses.

Program and product feasibility

Testing whether a new health plan product, benefit design, or risk-based entity is financially viable.

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